TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA?

Total volume:
$4,868
Volume 24h:
$2,046
191%
Liquidity:
$37,282
90%
Open interest:
$3,771
81%

Flamengo

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 01d:20h:09m

Flamengo wins

84%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 83.5¢ buys you 120 shares | Odds: 84% Total Payout: $120 | Net Profit: $20 Multiplier: 1.20x | ROI: 20% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo

Trade
84%
Yes 83.5¢No 17.5¢
1¢
N/A
$1,000
101%
717%
$846
1d 20h 9m
Active
polymarket

CR Flamengo

Trade
84%
Yes 84¢No 17¢
1¢
$6,428
$409
438%
910%
N/A
1d 17h 9m
Active
limitless

Flamengo

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17h 9m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
83.5%
Yes 83.7¢No 17.3¢
Avg: 2.3¢Max: 4.9¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
12%
1%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$376
630%
N/A
$376
1d 20h 9m
Active
polymarket

Draw (CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA)

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$13,569
$377
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 17h 9m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
3.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17h 9m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
11.7%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
Avg: 1.8¢Max: 3.5¢
kalshi

Gremio

Trade
7%
Yes 6.5¢No 95¢
1.5¢
N/A
$2,674
48%
50,362%
$2,548
1d 20h 9m
Active
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$17,285
$32
111%
N/A
N/A
1d 17h 9m
Active
limitless

Gremio

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17h 9m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.5%
Yes 6.3¢No 95¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 2.6¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets exist for Flamengo winning, Gremio winning, or the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs slightly in how it treats the recognition of an official result versus a complete lack of a rescheduled game.Hero tip: Be aware that Limitless relies on an 'official final result' even if the game isn't fully played, potentially leading to a different outcome than Polymarket if the governing body makes a controversial decision.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Flamengo/Gremio win markets resolve to 'No', and the Draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Limitless: If the game is canceled and an official final result is recognized, the markets resolve based on that result. If no official result and no reschedule, the Flamengo/Gremio win markets resolve to 'NO', and the Draw market resolves to 'YES'.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi's markets resolve to 'Yes' for any of the three outcomes (Flamengo win, Gremio win, or Draw) if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between CR Flamengo and Grêmio FBPA.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Flamengo vs Gremio professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Flamengo wins, the 'Flamengo' market resolves to Yes. If Gremio wins, the 'Gremio' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 4, 2026, 22:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Flamengo vs. Grêmio match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $4,860, with $2,039 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, combining insights from different forecasting communities. The dashboard displays the probabilities as implied by the trading activity on each platform, offering a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the match is heading. It’s a valuable resource for anyone interested in the predictive aspect of this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, creating further divergence from this market’s pricing.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to different interpretations of the same data. Trading mechanisms and fee structures also differ, influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information. Furthermore, the liquidity on each platform can impact price discovery; lower volume can result in greater price volatility. These factors combine to create potentially distinct probabilities for the same event across the two venues.

This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 5, 2026, following the completion of the Flamengo vs. Grêmio match. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, verified against credible public reporting. The final score and winner will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result and any associated adjustments to their positions once the event has concluded and the outcome is officially reported.

Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CR Flamengo or Grêmio FBPA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major news events affecting the broader Brazilian football league, or unexpected developments related to the match schedule, could also play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.