TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Flamengo and Fluminense FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo score more goals than Fluminense FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Flamengo and Fluminense FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC score more goals than CR Flamengo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CR Flamengo and Fluminense FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo score more goals than Fluminense FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Flamengo and Fluminense FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC score more goals than CR Flamengo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in public perception about the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive price discovery process, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced before or during the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected events during the second half, such as red cards or crucial goals, would also likely cause rapid price movements. Furthermore, broader factors like weather conditions or even public opinion expressed on social media could play a role in shaping the market's predictions.