CR Flamengo and EC Bahia will compete in a Brazilian Serie A match on April 19, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible results: a Flamengo victory, a Bahia victory, or a draw. Resolution will be based on official CBF statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with identical three-outcome logic: Flamengo win, Bahia win, or draw.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) as the governing body for Brasileiro Serie A, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; resolves YES if the match is canceled with no make-up game.
Polymarket Flamengo Win market resolves YES if Flamengo wins, NO otherwise; resolves NO if the match is canceled with no make-up game.
Polymarket Bahia Win market resolves YES if Bahia wins, NO otherwise; resolves NO if the match is canceled with no make-up game.
Kalshi market resolves YES for whichever outcome occurs: Flamengo win, Bahia win, or draw.
All markets refer only to the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket Draw market resolves YES while Polymarket Flamengo Win and Bahia Win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating a minor ambiguity.
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed. Resolution is deferred, not triggered by postponement alone.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution source is official CBF statistics. If CBF does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by CBF within 2 hours of match conclusion, or via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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