TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC
Volume:
$384,983
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 11, 2026 Brasileiro Serie A match between CR Flamengo and Cruzeiro EC. Markets assess whether Flamengo wins, Cruzeiro wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets contain a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Flamengo Win, Tie, Cruzeiro Win) are defined to resolve Yes, making simultaneous settlement impossible. Additionally, Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling, with Polymarket explicitly resolving Draw to Yes and Win markets to No if game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally unresolvable due to logical contradiction. Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source: Flamengo Win and Cruzeiro Win resolve No on cancellation; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. Monitor CBF.com.br for official game status and postponement announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. Flamengo Win: Yes if Flamengo wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise or if canceled. Draw: Yes if match ends 0-0 (or equivalent) in 90+stoppage, or if canceled with no makeup. Cruzeiro Win: Yes if Cruzeiro wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise or if canceled. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as mutually exclusive outcomes, but all defined identically: each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs. No cancellation clause provided. Logical flaw: Flamengo Win, Tie, and Cruzeiro Win cannot all resolve Yes simultaneously. Key Quote: 'If [Flamengo/Tie/Cruzeiro] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' with no differentiation or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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