TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between CR Brasil and Londrina will determine if either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specific goal differences within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The first two markets resolve to Yes if CR Brasil wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, respectively, while the latter two markets resolve to Yes if Londrina wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on goals scored during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded. The secondary rule states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived using different methodologies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the CR Brasil vs Londrina match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The market’s outcome will be determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could signal a change in market sentiment and cause the price to move. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is evolving as the event draws nearer.