TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if both CR Brasil and Londrina will find the back of the net in their Brasileiro Serie B fixture. The resolution hinges on whether each team manages to score during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If CR Brasil and Londrina both score a goal in the CR Brasil vs Londrina Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe both teams will score, the 'yes' side of this market might have shorter odds than a traditional sportsbook, even if the sportsbook assesses the probability lower. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'yes' or 'no' for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The closer the event gets, the more the price will likely move as new information becomes available and traders refine their predictions. The current price indicates the implied probability of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both CR Brasil and Londrina score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be counted towards the resolution of this market. The result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CR Brasil or Londrina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a more defensive or offensive style of play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also move the market. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could influence trader behavior.