TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between CR Brasil and Botafogo. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the game without predicting a specific winner.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the CR Brasil vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The resolution considers only goals scored within regular time, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly assess probabilities. Often, prediction markets demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, as the collective wisdom of traders can be more insightful than individual oddsmakers. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of reference when evaluating this market, particularly for those familiar with traditional betting strategies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possible result, and these factors influence price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the CR Brasil vs Botafogo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during regulation time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CR Brasil or Botafogo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any unexpected developments leading up to the game could contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.