TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
For the CR Brasil versus Botafogo game in the Brasileiro Serie B, this event will resolve positively if each team scores at least one goal within the standard match duration of 90 minutes and any added stoppage time.
If CR Brasil and Botafogo both score a goal in the CR Brasil vs Botafogo Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both CR Brasil and Botafogo will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both CR Brasil and Botafogo score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CR Brasil or Botafogo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also contribute to price movements. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring has the potential to move this market.