TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between CR Brasil and Botafogo in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event allows for three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the CR Brasil vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three markets correspond to the possible outcomes: CR Brasil win, Botafogo win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time plus stoppage minutes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or risk appetite between prediction market participants and sportsbook customers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the CR Brasil vs Botafogo match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market depth and order flow are visible on the dashboard, allowing you to analyze trading activity and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the CR Brasil vs Botafogo match, as determined by the governing soccer league or organization. The final score and official match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or weather conditions could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving either CR Brasil or Botafogo could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or public opinion shifts, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities.