TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:15h:10m
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This prediction group covers the outcome of the NFL game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Indianapolis Colts, scheduled for November 8th. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, and over/under totals for points scored by both teams and in specific game quarters/halves.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Colts, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market will resolve to "Colts" if Colts win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the Dallas vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The outcome is determined by which team is officially declared the winner of the game.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Colts, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market will resolve to "Colts" if Colts win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC: If the Dallas Cowboys win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Cowboys". If the Indianapolis Colts win, the market will resolve to "Indianapolis Colts". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. However, both can be influenced by public perception and biases. This market's implied probabilities might differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying levels of information, differing participant motivations, and the incentive structures inherent in each system. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Indianapolis wins at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward the Cowboys (-1.5) at 70.0%. These differences highlight the diverse perspectives captured across the prediction market ecosystem.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Cowboys-Colts game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official game results to understand when this market is settled and how their positions are affected.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 8, 2026. Unexpected news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Colts would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in coaching strategies or weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Major news stories related to team performance or off-field issues could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the game's outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.