TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Covic Iurii and Belibov Daniel in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 12 at 3:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Covic Iurii' if Covic Iurii wins against Belibov Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Belibov Daniel' if Belibov Daniel wins against Covic Iurii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Covic Iurii and Belibov Daniel in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 12 at 3:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Covic Iurii' if Covic Iurii wins against Belibov Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Belibov Daniel' if Belibov Daniel wins against Covic Iurii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for, resulting in different probabilities for the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news and analysis, driving price discovery. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Covic Iurii vs. Belibov Daniel match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could shift the odds. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public analysis from sports experts and commentators, if it gains traction, could drive trading activity and alter the price of shares. The closer we get to Oct 19, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to even minor developments.