TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Coventry and Sunderland in their upcoming professional English Premier League match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining success. The outcome depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins in the Coventry versus Sunderland EPL match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a different threshold of victory for either team. If Coventry wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves positively. Similarly, if Sunderland secures a victory by more than 1.5 goals, or more than 2.5 goals, its respective market resolves positively. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s price is driven by actual money being wagered. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news, as traders can instantly adjust their positions. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Coventry vs Sunderland match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on discrepancies between their own assessment and the market price. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Coventry vs Sunderland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine whether the actual point difference between the two teams exceeds or falls below the spread offered in the contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Coventry or Sunderland would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the final score. Any news that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths has the potential to move this market.