TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Coventry and Newcastle. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time. The outcome depends purely on the match's scoring dynamics.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Coventry vs Newcastle EPL soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams must exceed its respective threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are solely determined by supply and demand among traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes at prices they deem fair. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices adjust dynamically. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price levels – indicates the strength of conviction behind different outcomes. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Coventry vs Newcastle match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It's important to monitor the event for any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Coventry or Newcastle would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring team news and expert analysis leading up to the game is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.