TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios across four distinct markets in a single professional English Premier League soccer match between Coventry and Fulham, scheduled for October 24, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Coventry wins by more than 2.5 goals, Coventry wins by more than 1.5 goals, Fulham wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Fulham wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market has identical secondary disclaimers stating that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Coventry vs Fulham match spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Coventry vs Fulham match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported spread at the conclusion of the game. The final spread will be determined by standard sports scoring rules and will be publicly available from reputable sports news sources. Traders will then be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Coventry or Fulham would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the likely outcome of the Coventry vs Fulham match.