TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Alina Charaeva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Noma Noha Akugue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Alina Charaeva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Noma Noha Akugue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to potentially different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying approaches to risk assessment. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing signals. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s probability. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the one with the highest implied probability.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Akugue vs Charaeva match as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. The resolution process aims to be swift and definitive, providing a clear outcome for all participants.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Noma Noha Akugue or Alina Charaeva could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or changes in the overall tournament landscape, might also influence the odds. Public statements from players or analysts, and even significant shifts in betting patterns on external sportsbooks, could all contribute to price movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in probability.