TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pieri and Elizara Yaneva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pieri' if Jessica Pieri advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Jessica Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pieri and Elizara Yaneva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pieri' if Jessica Pieri advances against Elizara Yaneva. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Jessica Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As more information becomes available—like player form or injury reports—prediction market prices tend to converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability, potentially offering a more accurate read than traditional betting venues. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pieri vs Yaneva match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the market price dynamically updates to reflect the collective assessment of all participants. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pieri vs Yaneva match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome—a win for Pieri or Yaneva—is the correct one. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or recent match performance for either Jessica Pieri or Elizara Yaneva would likely cause price movements. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also influence the odds. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting activity at sportsbooks, could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust prices within this market. These events will be closely watched by those trading on Polymarket.