TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Knutson and Alina Charaeva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson' if Gabriela Knutson advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Gabriela Knutson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Knutson and Alina Charaeva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson' if Gabriela Knutson advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Gabriela Knutson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge to be gained, or that the sportsbook has mispriced the event. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Knutson vs Charaeva match. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Knutson vs Charaeva match as reported by the governing sporting body. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, but the initial reported outcome will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the factors that will determine the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments might also impact perceptions of each player’s form and chances of success. Significant media coverage or endorsements could also play a role. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity and price movements within this market.