TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Oksana Selekhmeteva. This market will resolve to 'Oksana Selekhmeteva' if Oksana Selekhmeteva advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Oksana Selekhmeteva. This market will resolve to 'Oksana Selekhmeteva' if Oksana Selekhmeteva advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information emerges that hasn’t been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can reveal insights into market expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of expectations for the Yaneva vs Selekhmeteva match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yaneva vs Selekhmeteva match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Yaneva or Selekhmeteva winning is likely to cause movement in this market.