TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Blinkova and Dalma Galfi in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Blinkova' if Anna Blinkova advances against Dalma Galfi. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Anna Blinkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Blinkova and Dalma Galfi in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Blinkova' if Anna Blinkova advances against Dalma Galfi. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Anna Blinkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It is common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that sportsbooks may overlook. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on the platform. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, if traders sell shares, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective beliefs of the participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Blinkova vs Galfi match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which player emerged victorious. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. For example, if Anna Blinkova were to withdraw from the match due to injury, the probability of Dalma Galfi winning would likely increase substantially. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning could move this market.