TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing 2026 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals. Currently, the consensus probability of Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons winning is 99.5%. This prediction aggregates data from Limitless and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official results reported by hltv.org. Keep an eye on November 3, 2026, as this is the estimated date for resolution of the match and the closing of the betting period.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information isn't widely reflected in sportsbook lines. However, both types of odds aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring, and often converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Natus Vincere or Team Falcons could significantly impact predictions. In-game performance during the event itself, such as map picks and early game results, will also be key catalysts. Additionally, any major upsets in other matches at the IEM Beijing tournament could shift overall perceptions of team strength and influence trading activity in this market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning could cause price fluctuations.