TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.7b
24H VOL:
$102,810,712
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,340,574,887
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,135,300,235
309,236
Markets across
29,779
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,173
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
Spirit
- Kalshi
Spirit - Kalshi
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 16
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Vol.
$105.1k
·
Resolves Aug 24, 2026
Latest in Sports
Time left: 03h:21m:41s
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks which team will win the CS2 Esports World Cup. The aggregated consensus probability shows Will Spirit win CS2 Esports World Cup? at 99.0%, with Legacy as the second outcome at 1.0% across Polymarket, Limitless, Predict, and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by https://hltv.org, with credible reporting as a backup if needed. Watch for the match outcome on August 24, 2026, which will settle this market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms share identical resolution logic for the match winner, handling cancellations, ties, forfeits, and walkovers consistently.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.org, with credible reporting as a backup if neededCore resolution logic:
- Resolve to the winning team if a clear winner is determined
- Resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or unresolved matches beyond 7 days
- Forfeits and walkovers before the match starts resolve to 50-50
- Forfeits and walkovers after the match begins resolve to the winning team
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match not played at all: Resolves to 50-50 across all platforms
- Match ends in a tie: Resolves to 50-50 across all platforms
- Forfeit before match start: Resolves to 50-50 across all platforms
- Forfeit after match start: Resolves to the team that wins due to the opponent's forfeiture
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and 3DMAX in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 3DMAX. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The event determines the winner of the 2026 CS2 Esports World Cup by resolving to 'Yes' for the specific market corresponding to the team that secures the championship title. Each market is dedicated to a single team, and the outcome is contingent solely on that team's victory in the tournament. The secondary rules across all markets uniformly state that the organizing platform, Kalshi, holds no official affiliation with the governing league of the tournament, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names mentioned belong to their respective owners. No additional conditions or tiebreakers are specified beyond the explicit championship win requirement for each individual team market.
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and 3DMAX in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 3DMAX. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and 3DMAX in the Esports World Cup 2026, initially scheduled for August 12, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 3DMAX. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct user bases and has unique liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier retail participation, driving probabilities toward popular narratives, while the other could be influenced by more analytical traders focusing on deeper metrics. These differences in participant behavior, combined with varying volume and open interest, lead to divergent odds even when tracking the same event. Such gaps often narrow as the match nears, but they offer opportunities for cross-platform arbitrage or insight into shifting market sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match outcome as reported by authoritative esports organizations and broadcast partners, ensuring transparency and reliability. Traders can track live updates as the game progresses, but the final settlement will reflect the confirmed winner from verified sources, closing the market definitively after the match concludes.
Key signals such as player injuries, strategic lineup changes, or recent performance trends could shift probabilities in this market. As the match approaches, betting volume spikes and media narratives may also influence trader sentiment, especially on platforms with lower volume. Additionally, any last-minute roster updates or tournament rule changes could create rapid price adjustments. Monitoring pre-match analysis, team announcements, and live in-game momentum will be essential for anticipating moves in the odds before settlement.