TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 7:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between MOUZ and TYLOO in the IEM Beijing 2026 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals, specifically focusing on whether MOUZ will win at least 3.5 more rounds than TYLOO on Map 3. Currently, the consensus probability, aggregated from Predict and Polymarket, indicates a 100.0% chance of MOUZ (-3.5) winning against TYLOO (+3.5). Resolution will be based on official results from hltv.org. Keep an eye on the match commencing on November 2, 2026, as that will determine the final outcome of this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and TYLOO in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and TYLOO in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting odds that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information more quickly and efficiently, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. Furthermore, the volume of $825,271 traded on Polymarket and Predict indicates a strong level of interest and informed speculation, which isn’t always reflected in sportsbook pricing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player health, such as a key player being sidelined, could significantly shift probabilities. In-game performance during the series itself, particularly in the first map, will likely cause substantial price movements. Major upsets in other matches within the IEM Beijing Group B tournament could also impact confidence in either team. Finally, any significant announcements from the teams or tournament organizers could also move this market, as traders react to new information.