TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of MIBR vs BC.Game Esports?

Volume:
$1,303,804

Map 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 9:19 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$229,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$887,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

MIBR vs BC.Game Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-9.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+9.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BC.Game Esports during the Stake Pulse Beat III Group D competition. Currently, the consensus probability that the teams will play over 2.5 games is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of data from Limitless and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official results reported by hltv.org. Keep an eye on the match schedule, as the resolution date is estimated for October 15, 2026, representing the end of the betting period for this event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize hltv.org as the primary resolution source and share consistent logic for postponements, cancellations, forfeits, and the handling of discrepancies in team names.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.org

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the official results published on hltv.org.
  • If hltv.org doesn't publish results within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting (including video evidence) will be used.
  • Matches postponed must be rescheduled within 14 days (until October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET/UTC).
  • Canceled or incomplete matches (without a determined winner) generally resolve to 50-50.
  • Forfeits/disqualifications typically resolve to 50-50, except when a team wins due to opponent forfeiture.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Map Not Completed: If a map is not completed, it resolves to 50-50, except for Map 1/2 winner markets where a completed map result determines the outcome.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor discrepancies in team names are resolved based on the underlying real-world match, recognizing abbreviations and alternate spellings.
  • Tie: The overall match market resolves to 50-50 if the match ends in a tie.
  • Postponement Deadline: If a rescheduled match start time exceeds the October 29, 2026 deadline, the market resolves to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the match (or the expiration of the postponement deadline), typically within 2 hours of official results being published on hltv.org.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Opening match between MIBR and BC.Game Esports in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group D, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against BC.Game Esports. This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BC.Game Esports in the Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against BC.Game Esports. This market will resolve to "BC.Game Esports" if BC.Game Esports win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, the dashboard for the CS:GO Stake Pulse Beat III market tracks the probability of different outcomes in the best-of-three match between MIBR and BC.Game Esports. Currently, this market shows a consensus view with a total volume of $1,303,804 and 24-hour volume of $1,194,302. The dashboard aggregates data from both platforms, allowing users to see how predictions are evolving and where the smart money is flowing. This provides a comprehensive overview of expectations for the event, combining insights from different trading communities.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. However, both prediction markets and sportsbooks are attempting to forecast the same event, and their odds can converge as new information becomes available. Ultimately, this market provides an alternative way to assess the probabilities of each team winning.

Prices on Polymarket and Limitless for the CS:GO Stake Pulse Beat III market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differences in market-making activity and risk appetite among traders on each platform contribute to these variations. While both platforms address the same underlying question, the specific dynamics of each exchange lead to different probabilities being reflected in the prices. These differences present opportunities for arbitrage.