TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group A
Volume:
$32,908
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-3 match between ex-RUBY and ex-Zero Tenacity in the European Pro League Series 5 Group A, scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Maps 1 and 2), games total over/under 2.5, and map handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary market contains a logical contradiction: both team-win outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket defines six distinct markets with comprehensive edge-case logic; Kalshi provides no cancellation, forfeit, or delay handling.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate event spaces. Polymarket markets are resolvable and well-defined; Kalshi's binary appears to be a documentation or platform error. Confirm Kalshi's actual resolution logic before trading. For Polymarket, monitor HLTV.org closely and be prepared for the 2-hour credible-consensus fallback if official results are delayed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six granular markets: match winner (resolves to team name or 50-50 on cancel/tie/delay >7 days/forfeit), Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over if 3+ maps, Under if fewer; 50-50 if canceled/delayed >7 days), Map Handicap ex-RUBY -1.5 (ex-RUBY wins if +2 map differential), Map Handicap ex-Zero Tenacity -1.5 (ex-Zero Tenacity wins if +2 map differential). All source HLTV.org with 2-hour credible-consensus fallback. Forfeits/walkovers/disqualifications counted if match completed; 50-50 if incomplete or pre-match forfeit.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: If ex-RUBY wins the match, resolve Yes. If ex-Zero Tenacity wins the match, resolve Yes. No edge-case logic provided. No cancellation, forfeit, delay, or tie handling. No resolution source specified. Logical flaw: both outcomes map to Yes, making market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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