TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz?

Volume:
$1,233,357

Map 1 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:54 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$214,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,460
$18,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,465
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Match Winner

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$247
$34,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$234
$18,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$93
$3,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs TheMongolz (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Aurora Gaming and TheMongolz at the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage. Currently, the aggregated probability across Predict and Polymarket indicates a 78.0% chance of the total games exceeding 2.5. Resolution will be based on official results reported on hltv.org. With a 1.0% probability, Aurora Gaming winning the match is the second most likely outcome. Keep an eye on the start of the match on October 24, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, relying on HLTV.org as the primary source and providing a 14-day postponement window.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.org

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official results published on HLTV.org.
  • If HLTV.org doesn't publish results within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence will be used.
  • Matches postponed must be rescheduled within 14 days; otherwise, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Forfeits, disqualifications, or walkovers result in a 50-50 resolution for the overall match market, but are counted as wins for map-specific markets if the map is completed.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Map Not Completed: If a map is not completed for any reason, the corresponding map-specific market resolves 50-50.
  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor discrepancies in team names will be resolved based on the underlying real-world match, prioritizing clear identification of the intended team.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the match, or after the postponement deadline of November 7, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and TheMongolz in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and TheMongolz in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various outcomes within the CS:GO PGL Masters tournament match between Aurora Gaming and TheMongolz. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,233,357, with $1,213,289 traded in the last 24 hours. The Polymarket currently favors Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) at 97 percent, while Predict leans toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. This allows for a consensus view of the market for the CS:GO PGL Masters, providing insights beyond individual platform pricing.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, arbitrage opportunities can emerge, causing convergence between the two. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for this event.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform – Polymarket currently favors Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5), while Predict leans toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 – can influence price discovery and attract different types of traders. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even minor injuries could shift expectations. In-game performance during the early rounds of the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, particularly if one team demonstrates a clear advantage, will likely impact prices. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect this market by altering the perceived competitive landscape. Significant volume spikes on either Polymarket or Predict could also indicate new information entering the market.