TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
polymarket

What is the result of Aurora Gaming vs 9z?

Volume:
$874,459

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 12:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$384,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$312,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$82,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%
47%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

50%
47%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs 9z (+9.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-12.5) vs 9z (+12.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs 9z (+9.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Counter-Strike match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the ESL Pro League Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage winning the match. The resolution source for this market is https://hltv.org. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule of October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, as this marks the beginning of the event window for determining the winner and resolving this market.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Aurora vs 9z CS match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $870,809, with $869,938 traded in the last 24 hours. Users can see how the implied probability of each outcome has shifted over time and gauge market sentiment. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the match’s result, offering insights beyond traditional analysis.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's odds are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced the event, we may see divergence between the two. It’s common to find prediction markets more accurate, especially closer to the event, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and react quickly to new information.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aurora vs 9z CS match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment surrounding the teams.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Aurora vs 9z CS match—which team wins the best-of-three series—will be used to determine the winning share. The platform will rely on official results published by ESL Pro League to verify the outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available data.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either Aurora or 9z could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other ESL Pro League matches, or changes in map veto strategies, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public statements from team members or analysts could sway the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements before the match concludes.