TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market tracks whether TheMongolz will win at least 3.5 more rounds than Alliance in the final map of their best-of-three Counter-Strike match in the 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs Upper Bracket Quarterfinal. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to TheMongolz achieving a 3.5-round handicap victory over Alliance. Resolution will be based on the official results reported on hltv.org. Keep an eye on the match beginning on October 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, as the outcome of this initial match will directly determine the winner and thus resolve this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Alliance and TheMongolz in the 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust prices based on new information. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it could indicate disagreement between bettors and prediction market participants. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into potential mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market's efficiency depends on the level of participation and the quality of information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) match within the 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs. The winning team, as determined by the tournament organizers, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes for either Alliance or TheMongolz could significantly impact prices. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early map wins or individual player highlights, will also likely cause rapid adjustments. Finally, any major upsets in other matches within the 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs could indirectly affect confidence in either team’s chances.