TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns a Counter-Strike match between aimclub and BASEMENT BOYS within the DraculaN Group A tournament. There are two types of markets: one for the overall match winner and another for the total rounds played in the first map. Resolution relies on official results from hltv.org, with fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between aimclub and BASEMENT BOYS in the DraculaN Group A, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win the match against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against aimclub. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between aimclub and BASEMENT BOYS in the DraculaN Group A, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win the match against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against aimclub. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of many individuals trading on their insights. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when information is dispersed and not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The current volume of $17,616 suggests active trading and a potentially refined forecast compared to initial sportsbook offerings.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading mechanisms and fee structures also differ, influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information. Furthermore, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform impacts price discovery; Polymarket may have more active traders focused on specific aspects of the aimclub vs BASEMENT BOYS match, while Predict might reflect a broader range of opinions. This results in potentially divergent probabilities for the same event.