TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether the upcoming Costa Rica vs Haiti soccer match will see more than a specified number of goals scored within regular time.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Costa Rica vs Haiti professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold representing a distinct predictive measure of offensive performance in the match.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by public betting patterns and the sportsbook's need to balance risk. This market, driven by informed traders on Kalshi, can incorporate new information and adjust rapidly to changing circumstances. Therefore, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Costa Rica vs Haiti match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Costa Rica vs Haiti match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers driving prices up and sellers driving them down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the probability of each outcome. The current price of a contract indicates the market's expectation of whether the actual total goals will be above or below that value.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Costa Rica vs Haiti match, as officially recorded by the governing soccer body, will determine the winning contract. No further information is available regarding the specifics of outcome verification. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and confirmation of the market's resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Costa Rica or Haiti would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements, tactical changes revealed by team managers, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.