TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Costa Rica vs. Haiti
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Costa Rica vs Haiti?

Volume:
$3,500,323

Costa Rica

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 9:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Costa Rica

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,029,518
N/A
N/A
$587,894
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Costa Rica

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Haiti

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,716,674
N/A
N/A
$1,384,448
Settled
No
polymarket

Haiti

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$531,763
N/A
N/A
$336,215
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Costa Rica vs. Haiti)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Costa Rica and Haiti, scheduled for October 4, 2026, within the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the consensus probability of Costa Rica winning is 100.0%, while Haiti winning is estimated at 0.1%. These probabilities are aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will be resolved based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Concacaf). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 4, 2026, to see if the heavily favored outcome materializes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with similar fallback procedures for data sourcing and handling of cancellations/postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Concacaf).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official results are available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled event time, potentially resolving 50-50 if data remains unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Costa Rica and Haiti.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Costa Rica vs Haiti professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. A win for Costa Rica resolves the 'Costa Rica' market to Yes; a win for Haiti resolves the 'Haiti' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count towards resolution. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Costa Rica vs. Haiti match. Currently, there’s a consensus view forming across both platforms, with a combined volume of $3,500,323. This allows users to see how the prediction market is pricing the likelihood of different results, aggregating data from multiple sources to provide a comprehensive overview. The current market reflects the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi regarding the potential results of this game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of informed traders. This market can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, as participants are incentivized to be correct. However, sportsbooks may have access to different information, such as injury reports or team news, influencing their odds. Both offer unique perspectives on the potential outcome of the Costa Rica vs. Haiti match.