TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Enrique Bogo
- Polymarket
Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Enrique Bogo - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Nov 1, 2026
Closed: Nov 1, 4:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Enrique Bogo in the Costa do Sauipe, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Enrique Bogo. This market will resolve to 'Enrique Bogo' if Enrique Bogo advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Enrique Bogo in the Costa do Sauipe, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Enrique Bogo. This market will resolve to 'Enrique Bogo' if Enrique Bogo advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding the match. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value, depending on their own assessment of the likely outcome and how it compares to both sets of odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Costa do Sauipe tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares that are purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process establishes a market-driven probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Costa do Sauipe tennis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective settlement process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions at Costa do Sauipe, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets or surprising performances in preliminary rounds could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analyses from tennis experts could also contribute to price movements in this market.