TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Carlos Prado and Pedro Boscardin Dias in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Juan Carlos Prado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Carlos Prado and Pedro Boscardin Dias in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Pedro Boscardin Dias. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Boscardin Dias' if Pedro Boscardin Dias advances against Juan Carlos Prado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Prado vs Dias match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Prado vs Dias match as reported by the governing sports organization. Any disputes or official revisions to the result will be considered in the resolution process. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will determine the final outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ physical condition or performance leading up to the match would likely cause price fluctuations. Public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner could also influence trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Prado vs Dias match has the potential to move the market.