TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold by which either Cornell or Georgetown must win for the market to settle favorably. The collective markets provide a detailed spectrum of possible game results.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Cornell vs Georgetown college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For Cornell markets, resolution occurs if Cornell’s victory exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 29.5 points. For Georgetown markets, resolution occurs if Georgetown’s victory exceeds thresholds from 2.5 to 18.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds represent a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, as each venue operates with different incentives and information sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes related to the Cornell vs Georgetown spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This creates a unique view of the event's likelihood, distinct from traditional odds-making.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Cornell vs Georgetown game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports organization, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning side of the spread. The outcome will be determined by the difference in points scored between the two teams at the end of regulation play.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Cornell or Georgetown would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Even broader factors, like weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or public betting trends, could contribute to fluctuations in the market. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price.