TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the contest between the two teams.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Cornell vs Brown college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Brown wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold for a given market (ranging from 1.5 to 25.5 points), that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Cornell wins by more than the designated margin (ranging from 2.5 to 22.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the game’s outcome. As more people trade, the price tends to converge towards what many believe is the true probability of each spread occurring, potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As traders buy contracts, the price increases, and as they sell, the price decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Brown wins by over 5.5 points, though this can change rapidly based on trading activity and new information. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Cornell vs Brown football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent trading on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. News regarding key player injuries on either Cornell or Brown would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.