TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:27 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro event, this market evaluates the total goals scored in the Coritiba vs Gremio Brazilian Serie A soccer match. The outcome hinges on whether the combined goals surpass thresholds from 0.5 to 5.5.
The market resolves based on the total goals scored in the Coritiba vs Gremio professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each sub-market specifies a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to Yes if the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when considering the potential for information aggregation and incentives for accurate forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Coritiba vs Gremio match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Coritiba vs Gremio match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Coritiba or Gremio would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment and therefore the price of contracts within this market. Team form and recent results are also key indicators to watch.