TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the victory margin in the Coritiba vs Gremio match, assessing whether Coritiba wins by more than certain margins or Gremio wins by more than certain margins.
The market resolves based on the goal differential if Coritiba or Gremio wins the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The first two sub-markets resolve to Yes if Coritiba wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two sub-markets resolve to Yes if Gremio wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the determination of the win margin. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly than this market reacts to new information. While sportsbooks often set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives and real-time information from traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Coritiba vs Gremio match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief of the crowd. The spread is determined by the difference in contract prices, indicating the expected margin of victory or defeat. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Coritiba vs Gremio match as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which side of the spread the final result falls on, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market settles.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Coritiba or Gremio could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on the day of the match, as well as any pre-game analysis or expert predictions, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or player availability are likely to cause volatility in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities.