TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Coritiba and Botafogo. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring intensity of the game without influencing the actual match result.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Coritiba and Botafogo in their professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match must be the one originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, and only goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count—extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. If the combined goals surpass the threshold defined for each market (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, each tied to a different goal threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns and liability management, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likely number of goals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the Coritiba vs Botafogo match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Coritiba vs Botafogo match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. A higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood of that goal total, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Coritiba vs Botafogo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The total goals scored, including any own goals, will be used to settle this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Coritiba or Botafogo would likely cause significant shifts in prices. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact expectations regarding the number of goals scored. Additionally, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment. Even general football news, such as a team’s recent performance or tactical changes, could contribute to price movements in this market before Oct 13, 2026.