TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event follows the Coritiba versus Botafogo Brasileiro Serie A encounter scheduled for October 12, 2026, focusing on whether both sides score in the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution is based exclusively on goal counts within standard match duration.
If Coritiba and Botafogo both score a goal in the Coritiba vs Botafogo Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook odds are inaccurate, they can create price pressure on Kalshi, potentially leading to a divergence. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' in the Coritiba vs Botafogo match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the current price, which is constantly updated based on supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating whether the actual outcome will be above or below the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Coritiba and Botafogo score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final market price will reflect the actual event outcome, and traders will be paid out or required to pay based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Coritiba or Botafogo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could influence trader behavior on Kalshi. Finally, team form and recent results leading up to the match will be closely watched and could drive price adjustments.