TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Coritiba and Botafogo in Brazil's top-tier league. Bettors can speculate on whether Coritiba, Botafogo, or neither (a tie) will win the match within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Coritiba vs Botafogo Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers results from regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional betting markets, though results can vary.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, providing transparency into the supply and demand for each outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Coritiba vs Botafogo match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Coritiba or Botafogo would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or significant news related to the clubs could play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price.