TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Coritiba FBC and Clube do Remo scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three binary markets track the possible outcomes: Coritiba win, draw, or Remo win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled game (with no make-up) resolves. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Polymarket's win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule and does not address this edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor official CBF and Kalshi announcements for cancellation policy. If the game is canceled, Polymarket draw backers are protected (resolve Yes), but Kalshi traders face ambiguity. Avoid large positions in Kalshi until cancellation handling is clarified.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Coritiba win, Draw, Remo win). On game cancellation with no make-up, the Draw market resolves Yes, while Coritiba and Remo win markets resolve No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (Draw) vs. 'this market will resolve "No"' (Win markets).Kalshi:
Three outcome-specific markets (Tie, Coritiba, Remo). Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Coritiba vs Remo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Silence on cancellation implies game must occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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