TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Corinthians vs Vitoria professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game, originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives a 54.0% probability to a tie, while a Corinthians win is at 37.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of this match, as reported by the official result. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the resolution date estimate is October 20, 2026 – reflecting the end of the betting period following the game’s completion.
The event resolves based on the result of the Corinthians vs Vitoria professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Corinthians wins, the 'Corinthians' market resolves to Yes. If Vitoria wins, the 'Vitoria' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. Over time, this market tends to be more accurate than traditional point spreads or moneyline odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Corinthians vs Vitoria match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Corinthians vs Vitoria match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or managerial decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might impact the price of contracts. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential movements in this market before it resolves.