TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The spread markets will settle based on the margin of victory for either Corinthians or Mirassol within regular time, affecting bets on dominant or close wins.
These spread markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Corinthians vs Mirassol Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Two markets cover Corinthians winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while the other two cover Mirassol winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. A win by the exact threshold (e.g., 2–0 for Corinthians) does not satisfy the condition. As with all markets, Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the number of goals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the teams' capabilities. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could signal a potential opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Corinthians vs Mirassol match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the likely result of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Corinthians vs Mirassol match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The total goals scored by both teams combined during regular play will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution purposes, focusing solely on goals scored within the standard 90 minutes of play.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Corinthians or Mirassol would likely cause significant price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected goal total, leading to shifts in the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football experts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity on other platforms might also indirectly affect the price on Kalshi.