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$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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40,345

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Corinthians vs Mirassol: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Volume:
$99,619

Corinthians wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Corinthians wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 9:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Corinthians wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,353
N/A
N/A
$26,818
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corinthians wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,752
N/A
N/A
$9,495
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,041
N/A
N/A
$9,142
Settled
No
kalshi

Corinthians wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,799
N/A
N/A
$2,902
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,674
N/A
N/A
$1,468
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market focuses on predicting the margin of victory in a professional soccer match between Corinthians and Mirassol. It evaluates whether the winning team will achieve a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome hinges purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the goal differential in the Corinthians vs Mirassol Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026. Four distinct criteria define resolution: Corinthians winning by more than 2.5 goals, Corinthians winning by more than 1.5 goals, Mirassol winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Mirassol winning by more than 2.5 goals. All assessments occur after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable rule if the stated condition is met; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Corinthians vs Mirassol match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $75,773. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely result of the match, reflecting their collective predictions. Total volume across the lifetime of this market is $95,083.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis of the match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it, constantly updating the implied probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Corinthians vs Mirassol match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in public sentiment, could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates related to the Corinthians vs Mirassol match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move the market.