TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time. This scenario highlights the offensive performance of both teams in a single match.
If Corinthians and Mirassol both score a goal in the Corinthians vs Mirassol Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals directly expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the Corinthians vs Mirassol match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving consensus. Higher demand for 'Yes' contracts drives the price up, indicating increased confidence in both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Corinthians and Mirassol score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle accordingly. The final result will be based on the official scoreline reported by the governing football authorities, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Corinthians or Mirassol would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts predicting a high-scoring game or highlighting defensive weaknesses could influence traders’ decisions, leading to fluctuations in the price of this market.