TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Corinthians and Mirassol in the Brasileiro Serie A league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will resolve according to whether Corinthians wins, Mirassol wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Corinthians vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Corinthians wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Corinthians' market resolves to Yes. If Mirassol wins under the same conditions, the 'Mirassol' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to attract balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion on the likely result of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time view of expectations for the Corinthians vs Mirassol match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Corinthians vs Mirassol match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the resolution process are outlined on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the Oct 31, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Corinthians or Mirassol would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or off-field issues could also shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome of the Corinthians vs Mirassol match.