TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where advancement to the next round is the key factor. The market resolves based on which team successfully moves forward, regardless of the specific scoring details within the tie.
If Conquense advance past Castellon in the Conquense vs Castellon soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Castellon advance past Conquense in the Conquense vs Castellon soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available and opinions converge, the odds on Kalshi may move closer to those offered by sportsbooks, or they may diverge if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Conquense vs Castellon match. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategies or coaching changes might also move the market. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis leading up to Oct 29, 2026 for potential catalysts.