TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Connor McDavid is a professional hockey player whose team affiliation may change through trade, free agency, or other roster moves. This event tracks where he plays next or whether he leaves professional hockey entirely before November 1, 2026.
The event resolves based on Connor McDavid's team status as of November 1, 2026. If he joins a new team before that date, the market for that team resolves Yes. If he remains with his current team at issuance, that team's market resolves Yes. If he officially retires or is not on any team by November 1, 2026, the "Retires / No Team" outcome resolves Yes. Exactly one outcome will resolve affirmatively based on his employment status on the resolution date.
Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on public perception and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the informed opinions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analytical approaches or access to unique information. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift more rapidly in response to news or developments than sportsbook odds, as the market quickly incorporates new data.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on the team Connor McDavid is officially signed with for the 2026-2027 NHL season. Any trade or free-agent signing announced before this date will be considered. The resolution will be determined by publicly available information from official NHL sources and widely recognized sports news outlets. The outcome will be the team listed on the official NHL roster.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Connor McDavid's contract negotiations with his current team, the Edmonton Oilers, would be a major catalyst. Reports of trade discussions involving McDavid, or his expressed desire to play for a specific team, would also likely cause substantial price movement. Furthermore, changes in the coaching staff or ownership of potential destination teams, or significant player acquisitions by those teams, could influence the market. Injuries to key players on contending teams could also shift probabilities as teams adjust their strategies.