TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory for CONG AN against Kashima in their professional soccer match. It considers different winning margins to reflect the dominance of one team over the other.
The event evaluates various winning margins for CONG AN and Kashima in their AFC Champions League match on October 13, 2026. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if CONG AN wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Kashima wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The rules reiterate that Kalshi has no official connection with the governing league, and trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into potential mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth—the number of contracts available at various price points—indicates the level of liquidity and the potential ease of entering or exiting a position. Traders are constantly updating their views, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the CONG AN vs Kashima match, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning contract. Resolution will occur shortly after the conclusion of the match, allowing traders to collect their winnings or cover their losses. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either CONG AN or Kashima could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style over the other. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even general shifts in public sentiment, could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust the odds accordingly. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.