TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 0.5 goals will be scored in the Como vs Roma Serie A soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 70.0%, while the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored is 30.0%. The market resolves based on whether over 4.5 goals are scored in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match results. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the Como vs Roma match on October 11, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored in the Como vs Roma Serie A match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion tied to the respective goal threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the potential game result or an opportunity for arbitrage. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Como vs Roma match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Como vs Roma match, as officially recorded by the league or governing body. The final score will be used to determine which contracts payout, and the payout amount will reflect the contract's price at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Como or Roma would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions impacting the game could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different total goal outcomes has the potential to move this market.