TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming women's professional soccer match between Como and Inter Milano. Bettors can speculate on whether Como will win, Inter Milano will win, or the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Como vs Inter Milano professional Serie A Femminile soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Como market occurs if Como wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Inter Milano occurs if they secure a victory in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. No outcomes consider extra time or penalty shootouts, and all parties acknowledge that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Kalshi in that direction, potentially creating an arbitrage opportunity. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available and public opinion shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Como vs Inter Milan match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the winning contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Como or Inter Milan could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could major tactical adjustments announced before the game. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Any significant development related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market.